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Monsoon Prediction: Data from Models, or Models from Data? 
Monday, 21 May 2018,  3:30 -  5:00
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by Dr  S Bhogle, Honorary Scientist, CSIR-4PI

Abstract: Most rainfall prediction exercises solve dynamical equations, create an ensemble of 5-10 solutions by varying initial conditions, and then produce their prediction by averaging these solutions with suitable weights. We start by taking the same path … but go well beyond. We obtain a large number of solutions, and launch an extensive exercise to look for underlying patterns within them. We find that these numbers come together to recount a fascinating tale, that often culminates in the best possible prediction.

Location Conference Hall, Network Building, CSIR-4PI


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